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Seven seconds

17:52.  Seven seconds off the PR.  Could have made it if not for the pool boy first trying to kill me, then trying to stop me to get in a fight after I flipped him off (wait, you’re in so much of a hurry that you’re willing to kill me to save the seven seconds you’d have to wait to pass safely, but you have time to stop and try to kick my ass?).  Admittedly highly dependent on lights and not getting caught by traffic, but still, 17:45 remains the record.  Lots of 18:15 to 18:30.  Very few less than 18:00.

No video as I forgot and left the cameras charging.

It’s either Dilbert or Office Space

But currently it’s both.  Art imitates life imitates art.  I used to work at Initech, and I went to grad school to get away from it.  But it’s universal.  Apparently inescapable.  Even managers who used to be techies who have watched the movie will still become Lumbergh because they can’t fucking think of anything better to do.

Nailed it again

If you didn’t read anything else, the first two paragraphs should put to rest any inkling you might ever have that nations are like families, and budgets must be balanced.

Krgthulu:

[T]he economy is not like an individual family.

Families earn what they can, and spend as much as they think prudent; spending and earning opportunities are two different things. In the economy as a whole, however, income and spending are interdependent: my spending is your income, and your spending is my income. If both of us slash spending at the same time, both of our incomes will fall too.

[…]

[I]f you ask me, people talk too much about what went wrong during the boom years and not enough about what we should be doing now. For no matter how lurid the excesses of the past, there’s no good reason that we should pay for them with year after year of mass unemployment.

So what could we do to reduce unemployment? The answer is, this is a time for above-normal government spending, to sustain the economy until the private sector is willing to spend again. The crucial point is that under current conditions, the government is not, repeat not, in competition with the private sector. Government spending doesn’t divert resources away from private uses; it puts unemployed resources to work. Government borrowing doesn’t crowd out private investment; it mobilizes funds that would otherwise go unused.

Now, just to be clear, this is not a case for more government spending and larger budget deficits under all circumstances — and the claim that people like me always want bigger deficits is just false. For the economy isn’t always like this — in fact, situations like the one we’re in are fairly rare. By all means let’s try to reduce deficits and bring down government indebtedness once normal conditions return and the economy is no longer depressed. But right now we’re still dealing with the aftermath of a once-in-three-generations financial crisis. This is no time for austerity.

O.K., I’ve just given you a story, but why should you believe it? There are, after all, people who insist that the real problem is on the economy’s supply side: that workers lack the skills they need, or that unemployment insurance has destroyed the incentive to work, or that the looming menace of universal health care is preventing hiring, or whatever. How do we know that they’re wrong?

Well, I could go on at length on this topic, but just look at the predictions the two sides in this debate have made. People like me predicted right from the start that large budget deficits would have little effect on interest rates, that large-scale “money printing” by the Fed (not a good description of actual Fed policy, but never mind) wouldn’t be inflationary, that austerity policies would lead to terrible economic downturns. The other side jeered, insisting that interest rates would skyrocket and that austerity would actually lead to economic expansion. Ask bond traders, or the suffering populations of Spain, Portugal and so on, how it actually turned out.

h/t: BdL

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Picture of the day, 21 April 2013

AMON

Two A things

Archer makes me laugh uncontrollably. Every episode.

Atrios hits the nail on the head. Almost every time.

Timing

The US is deploying a $1B missile defense system, primarily to Alaska, which has at best a 50% success record (bad news if you’re missile with a huge radar generator attached heading from a known direction at a known time), to shoot down missiles from North Korea, which can’t reach the US and can’t possibly have missile-launchable nukes attached.

Those Star Wars Buck Turgidsons must have gotten an erection when KJU started rattling his empty saber again. The missiles won’t even be deployed til 2017, so even if they were effective, they wouldn’t be useful for this “crisis”.

But the missiles are very useful for deploying $1B of funds which might have otherwise been sequestered.

Puzzled

I like to sign other people up to play the NPR Sunday Puzzle on air.

It hasn’t happened yet, but imagine their surprise when they get the phone call.

Picture of the day, 12 April 2013

Broad daylight

 

Sweep

You think this guy's even going to notice when he sweeps me with his sprinkler pipe sticking out three feet on the right? Be awesome if we had a three foot rule, so thanks, Jerry and Arnold for vetoing that.

 

Sun rises in the east again

Though you’d never know it this time of year around here.

As it turns out, there are about 10% more people on disability in 2013 after the greatest recession since the 30s than there were in 1995. And most of that is due to simple demographics – it’s the boomers. Big shock. But by all means, if you want yet more people on disability, raise the retirement age to 67.

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Confirmation bias

So Apple maps does this when it’s released, first iteration:

20120920-DSC_7192VERGE_large_verge_medium_landscape

and it’s OMG, Apple Maps fail!

But Google Maps does this six months later:

pittsburgh_10-300x177

and it’s art.

All I know is that the week before Apple Maps came out, Google Maps sent me to the wrong location twice in one week, and not for the first time either. Apple Maps has never sent me to the wrong location.

It did not know where Devil’s Punchbowl is, and Google Maps did. But the fail, unlike GMaps, was perfectly clear, and unlike GMaps, did not cost me $10 in parking and being a half an hour late. And before AMaps, I didn’t have audio turn-by-turn directions and always visible maps. Now I do. And also Google is not getting to track my location every time I use it.

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Bike lanes

This is not a bike lane. This is an invitation to get hit either by a car or by a door:

This is not a bike lane. This is a stripe painted on the pavement in which cars park, which makes city planners feel better about themselves, but makes both cyclists and motorists angry, because motorists expect the cyclists to be on the other side of the stripe, and cyclists know that it is inevitable death to dodge in and out amongst parked cars. Either by car or by door:

Fuck you, City of Pasadena. This is worse than no bike lane at all. You can put up all the “bike lane” signs and billboards you want. It doesn't make it a bike lane.

This is a bike lane:

Notice how the lane is well clear of both moving cars and doors. This is how it's done! Aside from actual bike trails not on city streets, but I don't see that happening in the US any time soon.

My commute to work is now about 40% safer. Thank you, City of Los Angeles!

Now if Pasadena would repave Raymond, which has a real bike lane, but is so potholed that it's unrideable, or put a real bike lane in on Los Robles, I could make it almost all the way to work.

That said, the three times I've been hit have all been on much less busy residential streets. This four lane thoroughfare with average speeds of 45 mph was already one of the safer sections of my ride, statistically. Though the consequences of getting hit here would have been much more serious.

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Picture of the day, 31 March 13

In other news, sun rises in east

So Chana Joffe-Walt has discovered that, if you work backbreaking menial jobs all your life, and have little to no education [1], it's likely that when that backbreaking job actually breaks your back [2], you will not have the education to go get a desk job. Furthermore, in large parts of the country, especially the rural parts, there simply are no desk jobs.

Chana Joffe-Walt is shocked, shocked, by this! The whole hour-long episode is basically her revelation that much of the country relies on hard physical labor to get by! And that physical labor is hard! That the whole transformation of the economy from manufacturing and farm labor to service and tech has left those are either not suited or unable to get a college degree in a deep dark hole. That the half of the population with an IQ less than 100 might not be able to get a high-tech job, or there might be people who don't want to. Or people who don't want to rip up their families and move all over the country chasing non-existent jobs, and probably don't have the resources to do so in any case. If you're living from pay check (or disability check) to check, paying first, last and deposit on an apartment in a new city might simply not be possible.

The amazing thing is that a large fraction of these people still vote Republican.

And here's another story for CJW – raising the retirement age to 67 might work if you have one of them desk jobs, but if you're working at a fish plant or a factory or a farm or as a janitor, then working another two years is not something to be looked forward to, but rather two more years tacked onto your sentence. It's hard fucking work. I work hard, but it's not the same, and any CEO who tells you that they work harder than everyone else to get their salary needs to spend a couple of weeks digging ditches.

Me, I grew up on a farm/ranch, and that was hard enough that I paid my way through school doing construction. Building houses was way easier. There was no way I was going to spend my life doing either of those. I spent enough time shagging plywood that I could tell that doing it age 50 was going to be no fun. And at age 50, my back feels those eight sheets of plywood every time I stand up, even though I stopped when I was a hale 22.

I also knew that there were people who did tougher jobs than me. My dad tried to use his children as migrant workers, and we lasted about a day hoeing weeds by hand, going up and down the mile-long rows, chopping weeds (he had the field cropdusted at the same time, using the active ingredient in Agent Orange, so there's that). Handling irrigation pipe, driving tractors, digging ditches, shagging plywood – all way easier than being a field hand.

This is yet another reason NPR will never get a dime from me. Those folks need to get out more.

[1] Not least because you quit school to take one of those backbreaking menial jobs in order to help support your family.

[2] Of course, that backbreaking hourly job didn't have benefits.

Picture of the day, 26 March 2013